DFW said:
aspqrz said:
Indeed, average life expectancy has increased dramatically in the last 100 years or so, mainly due to basic public health measures, enough so that most wealthy countries are in the process of either raising the age of retirement or discussing doing so.
As a note. the VAST majority of that increase has been at the bottom end (decrease in infant/childhood mortality) very little on the top end...
Well, yes. That's what averages represent. Generally speaking, however, "infant mortality" in this respect for pre-modern societies was, as I understand it, more correctly "infant and adolescent" mortality ... if you managed to hit your twenties the chances were good, unless you had the misfortune to be female, that you would survive into your late forties or even into your fifties ... and the Biblically endorsed "three score years and ten" (70) was moderately likely.
Regardless, in the last 100 years or so the increase at the top end is substantial and significant ... which is why assorted US congesscritters are rabbiting on about how Social Security is going to go bankrupt "real soon now" when there will be more retirees than working age people ... much the same argument has been made in Oz (but *our* parliamentarians are less fussed about it because they have realised that it can easily be solved by modest tax hikes ... though, of course, they b**** and moan about that, of course) ... and, as a result, the retirement age has already been raised, quite a while ago for women, and recently for all (below a minimum age, of course).
These steps would not be necessary if all of the increase was at the bottom end.
AIUI, the bottom end increases have been overwhelmingly due to basic public health measures, a significant chunk of the 50-70 increases have been likewise, but that the increases post 70 have been, are, and will certainly continue to be more expensive, relatively. However, there is a considerable and reasonable expectancy amongst the medical profession, again, AIUI, that a life expectancy of 120 is achievable "in the near future" and that *usable* life expectancy (i.e. retirement age or something similar) is going to increase proportionally ... so, at TL/13-15 it would not be unreasonable to see characters adventuring into their 70s or even 80s based on that, perhaps even into their 90s.
YMMV, of course, as Traveller Tech has never made much sense in the light of real world developments, even back in the 70s and 80s :wink:
Phil