Taran said:
Nomad said:
('Course, once you start talking about how you'd actually go about doing stuff, you have to ask *why* we'd still be putting human pilots in fighters in the 23rd century when IRL air combat's likely to all be done UAVs by the 2050's, but that way rationality lies...and where's the fun in that?)
Umm, no. We're always going to have human pilots operating the majority of our aircraft and humans doing the vast majority of our fighting in wars. Precisely because of the potential for push-button warfare to be too easy. Remember Lee's comment on growing too fond of war...
That might come as a surprise to the RAF, who are looking at a UAV to replace the Tornado.
http://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/tanaris/
Sorry to be so unromantic, but combat UAVs have too many advantages - they're smaller, stealthier, more agile (you don't pull 30Gs in a manned aircraft twice - the airframe may stand it, the crew won't), and are nicely expendable - no bodybags coming back, or POWs in captivity. And potentially a lot cheaper, which given the over-inflation growth in defence costs is a major driver.
And I'm afraid a fear of 'push button warfare' is of a piece with poison gas, the locomotive torpedo and aerial bombardment, all of which were supposed to make war to horrible to contemplate.
Of course, nowadays, we think that about nuclear weapons...well, we'll just have to see how that works out as they become available to a wider cultural mix of governments and NGOs.
I disagree here. Push Button warfare will take Teh humanity out of warfare and make it too easy. IF we dont see teh horror then why would we Not go to war. The threat of deat is something that has kept presidents and kings from going to war 90% of the time.
Also, unmanned warfare makes one very vulnerable to electronic warfare. This is because in order to have unmanned craft you either 1) need to build in an AI or 2) need to control it remotely. Both are susceptible to difference kinds of EW, what amounts to hacking. At which point, the bigger threat isn't the enemy destroying your craft but rather hacking it and turning it against you.
NO EW doesnt amount to hacking. Cyber Warfare is hacking. EW is something completely different. It is interferrence with radars and radio signals. Hacking is taking contol of or invading someones network. I know I am a US Navy Electronic warfare technician.
Which in theory is true of any remote guided weapon system. In practice it depends on the relative tech base of the opponents - in Vietnam, the US were able to reduce the hit rate of SAMs from about 20% to about 2% using EW; in return, EW didn't help the North Vietnamese against US RPVs at all.
You need to check these Numbers and your facts. The US reduced teh Number of sam hits on Aircraft because of HARM (High-speed Anti Radiation Missiles) weapons and refined tactics along with better intel on the Weapons systems being emplyed by the vietnamese. Not because of electronic warfare (although EW did make leaps and bounds during this time). Advances in Radar and ESM (electronic sensor measures) were alsoa huge help.
I live in the CA Bay Area and they have a regional mass transit system called BART that can be completely automated. Literally the trains can be run from central nodes. Yet they still put conductors on the trains. This is partially a PR thing so riders don't freak out, but also so that there's a guy to literally hit the manual brakes should everything fail.
In London we have the Docklands Light Railway which is fully automated - no driver aboard.