Regarding Statistics

[Malakor]

Remember. . .

87.45% of all Statistics are made up!

 

[far-trader]

Remember. . .

87.45% of all Statistics are made up!

And the other 14.4% of them are subject to a margin of error.

 

[Rikki Tikki Traveller]

A perfect example is the current US race for President. In Iowa, the democrats have the following numbers:

Obama: 28%
Clinton: 24%
Edwards: 22%

So, it looks like Obama is winning, but what they usually don't tell you is the margin of error (in this case + 5%).

Statistically, this race is a dead heat since Obama could be as low as 23% and Edwards could be as high as 27%.

 

[AKAramis]

Remember. . .

87.45% of all Statistics are made up!

And the other 14.4% of them are subject to a margin of error.

Funny, my stats profs said 99.99% are subject to error, and the remainder don't matter, anyway...

 

[pasuuli]

Perhaps the margin of error is 87.45%...

 

[TrippyHippy]

1-in-a-million chances occur 9 times out of 10.

 

[Nellkyn]

1-in-a-million chances occur 9 times out of 10.

I thought that was only in special circumstances.

 

[Rikki Tikki Traveller]

I had always heard it as the 90/10 rule.

If you have a 10% chance of screwing something up, you will screw it up 90% of the time.

 

[pasuuli]

1-in-a-million chances occur 9 times out of 10.

I thought that was only in special circumstances.

Every circumstance is special.

 

[lastbesthope]

When it comes to dice you have to sometimes take a step back and think about it, for example rolling 6 6's in a row is only a 1 in 46656 chance, but that is exactly the same odds as any other outcome of 6 die rolls (when you take order of the rolls into account)

LBH

 

[Rikki Tikki Traveller]

And, having rolled 6 6's in a row, the odds of rolling another 6 are?????


1 in 6 same as always...

 

[Tathlum]

(not on a twenty sided dice.....)

 

[Rikki Tikki Traveller]

You and your D20 Heresy! This is TRAVELLER!

Repeat after me:

"All Dice have Six Sides. All Dice have Six Sides."

:wink:

 

[Lord High Munchkin]

Dear All,

Except those lovely ten-sided 2300 ones....

Regards

 

[Deniable]

Is that the d20 heresy of TNE or the D20 heresy of T20?

 

[Tathlum]

Brothers cast off your cubist opressors!! Round(ish) is the wave of the future!!

 

[far-trader]

Brothers cast off your cubist opressors!! Round(ish) is the wave of the future!!

Only "roundish" brother Tathlum?

http://www.rpgshop.com/product_info.php?products_id=11133

:wink:

(I think posting such links are ok on this board, I don't see a faq about it, apologies if I'm mistaken)

 

[lastbesthope]

And, having rolled 6 6's in a row, the odds of rolling another 6 are?????


1 in 6 same as always...

Exactly, when dealing with sequential dice rolls where order of roll is important, any one sequence is as likely as any other, assuming properly random dice.

When sequence matters you're moving into combinatorics as well as probabilty.

LBH

 

[Tathlum]

Brothers cast off your cubist opressors!! Round(ish) is the wave of the future!!

Only "roundish" brother Tathlum?

Yup. Even I stop short of the monsterously heretical round d100. *shudder* spacemaster.....



those round d6 are kinda cute though....hadn't seen them before....but are they cute enough to play traveller with d6s???

 

[Rikki Tikki Traveller]

Is that the d20 heresy of TNE or the D20 heresy of T20?

Heresy is Heresy! If it ain't D6, it's BROKEN! :twisted: :wink: