A Likely force

Discuss the Traveller RPG and its many settings
Banded Mongoose
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A Likely force

Postby JMISBEST » Wed Jun 06, 2018 11:55 pm

In my cousins group he Imperium has discovered that my group is mustering their fleet,of 53 ships of between 100 ton Scoutship and A 11,300 ton custom buid Freighter converted into Carrier and she planning to attack A 10,000 ton Freighter thats holding enough Ruby's from The Mine of Paal, it will be the biggest heistbhuman history and if divided evenly will all involved all at least Cr 444,600 each, after using Zhondani to turn the escort ships crews traitor and my cousin wants to know The Imperiums likely reasponse fleet as they found out but want to let it go ahead to catch them
M J Dougherty
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Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2017 8:12 am

Re: A Likely force

Postby M J Dougherty » Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:36 am

A force that size is a threat to stability in the local area, and especially to interstellar commerce. Probable response would be to intercept with a task force including one or more cruisers and graphically destroy the main ships, with escorts chasing down the smaller vessels.

Post additional vessels over likely jump escape points to catch the runners. Pass intel from the survivors on to Naval Intelligence to enable others to be located and eliminated or captured.

Use of psionics to force personnel to turn traitor would disgust most Imperials. Likely response would be summary execution for all involved, survivors placed on the Most Wanted list. Possibly a sternly worded note to the Zhodani ambassador 'requesting' the Consulate deter its people from acting against Imperial interests. 16.72% chance of triggering the Fifth Frontier War.
Lesser Spotted Mongoose
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Re: A Likely force

Postby steve98052 » Mon Jun 11, 2018 5:33 pm

M J Dougherty wrote:
Thu Jun 07, 2018 8:36 am
. . . 16.72% chance of triggering the Fifth Frontier War.
According to my calculations, it's a 21.34% chance.

Rikki Tikki Traveller
Cosmic Mongoose
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Re: A Likely force

Postby Rikki Tikki Traveller » Mon Jun 11, 2018 7:01 pm

You're both wrong, you have to carry the significant figures in your intermediate probability calculations.

The correct answer is 17.2217746662%

My friends call me Richard.
You can call me Sir.
M J Dougherty
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Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2017 8:12 am

Re: A Likely force

Postby M J Dougherty » Sat Jun 16, 2018 2:01 pm

You are failing to factor in the non-trivial matter that I am writing virtually all of the published Traveller materials these days.

This gives my prediction a 17.441 weighting on the SIMBAT scale and trumps your mere mathematical predictions.

So there!
Cosmic Mongoose
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Re: A Likely force

Postby phavoc » Sat Jun 16, 2018 2:43 pm

My mom said all of you are wrong. Very few things are more powerful than mom.

Even Grandfather shies away from Mom - especially when she's angry.
Chief Mongoose
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Re: A Likely force

Postby Condottiere » Sun Jun 17, 2018 8:37 pm



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